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domestic coal prices drop or will increase in may 2012

2017-10-20

abstract:
    since may, the bohai rim thermal coal price gradually from up to down, closing may 23, 5500 kcal coal average price in the bohai sea has for three consecutive weeks pulled back slightly, the cumulative decline of 0.76%.      from the point of view of all aspects of the current and future period of time, the coal downward trend has been scheduled next month or two drop, or will be increased, and coal prices callback will be gradually conducted from the coast to the mainland by the port transfer to the hang hau. promote increased coal prices decline mainly due to the following aspects:
     first, economic growth downward pressure on short-term real economy is difficult to significantly change. april china's import and export value of $ 308.08 billion, an increase of 2.7%, of which exports increased by 4.9% while imports increased 0.3 percent in january of this year, both negative growth after the bottom again; 1-4 months, fixed asset investment up 20.2 %, the growth rate continued to fall, which, real estate development and investment growth fell to 18.7%, down 4.8 percentage points, compared with 1-3 months. in addition, hsbc announced in may china pmi initial value of 48.7% and value decreased by 0.6 percentage points compared with the end of april showed that china's economic growth is still slowing down.
     weak demand for electricity, water and electricity output increase, the focus of power plant coal consumption is down significantly. on the one hand due to the increasing pressure of economic downturn, the demand for electricity as a whole weak; the other hand, in most parts of the south this summer, more rain, combined with 5-10 month last year, drought-induced hydropower output is blocked, in may of this year, hydro power generation is bound to appear more substantial growth, thereby suppressing the thermal power generating capacity and electricity demand growth. may 1 to 20, the ring of the daily average coal consumption of the national key power plants dropped 5.1 percent compared to